Thursday, September 18, 2008

Alleged Bulava Launch Success

Commenter Chesapeake Auxie notes that the Russian press is reporting a successful test launch of the Bulava SLBM:

The SSBN Dmitriy Donskoy launched a Bulava SLBM tonight while submurged. The Ministry of Defense told RBK that the training sections of the missile reached the target in the Kura test range on the Kamchatka Peninsula. A source noted that, "At the moment information about the launch is being analyzed, but it can already be said that the launch and the flight of the missile proceeded normally".

Comment: I call the launch an "alleged success" because it wouldn't be the first time that a Bulava launch was reported as "successful", but then subsequent information cast doubt on the success of the launch for one reason or another.

Also, intial reporting on missile testing indicated that there would be a Delta IV conducting a short range test launch in the Pacific. It was only a vague speculation/hunch/good analysis by Pavel Podvig at Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces blog that suggested there would be a Bulava launch this week.

And what was this funny shaped closure for? Not for the Bulava test, thats for sure. I thought it might have been for the Delta IV launch as reported by the Russian press, but that seems to not have been the case.

Perhaps the closure was for an SS-N-12 shot that was reported yesterday.


Anonymous said...

I'll have to assume that this was a successful launch, until proven otherwise :)

NavyRu said...

ChesapeakeAuxie, isn't it american version of plot theory? Your point of view? ;)

Anonymous said...

Someone has to be the doubting Thomas. And it's not going to be the Russians at this point :)

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